A Restful Prediction for Stage 11

The World Cup is over and the Tour de France has its first rest day.  How does one get a sports fix today?!?  The Major League Baseball All-Star game is tonight!  Perfect timing!

Tour de France cyclists are surely resting today and planning strategies for the upcoming stages.  Tomorrow's Stage 11 begins in the commune of Besançon, not too far from France's border with Switzerland.  The 187.5-km (116.5-mi) medium-mountain stage takes riders due south into the Jura Mountains, ending in what will hopefully be a fast downhill sprint into Oyonnax.  Below is our prediction.

• Stage 11:  4h 33' 24" (prediction)

Will riders be fast after a day of rest?  Or, will they be holding back, knowing they've got serious climbs in the Alps coming up?  How will Contador's absence affect strategies?  Lots to learn over the next few stages!